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weaklei

Directional Polymarket profile ↗ Backtest Alert me
What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$506.9k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
+$10.2k
Last 30 days +$1,240 · $6.01M volume · 9,084 trades · since Oct 26, 20:00 EDT

All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.

Polymarket profile

all trades, not just flags · public Data API
Realized P&L
−$3,178
Open P&L · 4 positions
+$12.0k
Closed-position win rate
92%
213 closed
Wallet age · markets
364d
— markets traded

History

MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWhenResult
US forces enter Iran by April 30?LOW SELL Yes @ 99¢ $34.0k1% 199d agoexcluded
US forces enter Iran by April 30?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $15.0k100% 202d agoexcluded
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ $20.0k100% 212d agoexcluded
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.6¢ $11.8k100% 214d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.7¢ $77.2k
3.9× usual
0% 235d agoexcluded
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ $25.9k99% 236d agoexcluded
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $39.9k0% 236d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $10.3k100% 237d agoexcluded
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $45.4k
2.3× usual
100% 237d agoexcluded
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.5¢ $53.0k
2.6× usual
100% 237d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ $14.1k100% 240d agoexcluded
Will the US next strike Iran on February 22, 2026 (ET)?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $23.7k100% 243d agoexcluded
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ $19.8k98% 244d agoexcluded
Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $20.2k100% 257d agoexcluded
Will the US next strike Iran on February 7, 2026 (ET)?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $14.9k100% 258d agoexcluded
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k100% 264d agoexcluded
Will the US next strike Iran on January 24, 2026 (ET)?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $11.8k100% 272d agoexcluded
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $30.0k100% 293d agoexcluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $20.0k0% 297d agoexcluded

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