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What this means. A wallet put $10.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 53% chance. It won. This wallet has only 9 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$10.9k
BUY Yes @ 53¢ · 20,540 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet 0x8ba2…1650 took Yes (buy) for $10.9k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 53% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $10.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 53¢ means
53%chance the market gave
−113American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 53¢
- Implied odds
- 53.0%
- As American odds
- −113 no vig
- Size
- $10.9k
- Placed
- Aug 23, 23:34 EDT
- Market close
- Aug 24, 15:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0x8ba2…1650
- Tx
- 0xf01232f4…
This wallet's graded record
3/9-7.3 pts
expected 3.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +47 ptsYes price · entry 53¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $15.7k | excluded |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? | LOW BUY Yes @ 94.9¢ | $15.4k | excluded |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? | MED SELL Yes @ 71¢ | $36.7k | excluded |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? | MED BUY No @ 51¢ | $43.9k | missed |
| Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-08-24? | MED BUY No @ 50¢ | $99.4k 3.5× usual |
missed |