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What this means. A wallet put $137.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?excluded
$137.2k
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ · 137,335 shares in 5 fills
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favorite5 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)Sports

What happened

Wallet 033033033 took Yes (buy) for $137.2k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $137.2k+2
Near-certain price-2
5 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
99.9%
Size
$137.2k
Placed
Apr 21, 14:28 EDT
Market close
Apr 24, 20:30 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
033033033
Tx
0xa2ad6b6d…

Entry to resolution

Grade +0 pts
Yes price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.9¢ · $137.2k WHALE $137.2K @ 99.9¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $67.4k
2.4× usual
0% debased185d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $31.9k
2.3× usual
0% mindeirs185d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $641.9k100% 0x90ca…1a4b185d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $27.1k0% ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN186d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $24.3k100% NotBakerMcKenzie186d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.7¢ $65.7k
4.3× usual
0% Votei14Voude22186d agoexcluded