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What this means. A wallet put $24.3k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?excluded
$24.3k
BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ · 24,372 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Sports

What happened

Wallet NotBakerMcKenzie took Yes (buy) for $24.3k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $24.3k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.8¢
Implied odds
99.8%
Size
$24.3k
Placed
Apr 21, 23:43 EDT
Market close
Apr 24, 20:30 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
NotBakerMcKenzie
Tx
0xca7007c2…

Entry to resolution

Grade +0 pts
Yes price · entry 99.8¢ · resolved Yes
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.8¢ · $24.3k WHALE $24.3K @ 99.8¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $67.4k
2.4× usual
0% debased184d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $31.9k
2.3× usual
0% mindeirs185d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $641.9k100% 0x90ca…1a4b185d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $27.1k0% ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN185d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.7¢ $65.7k
4.3× usual
0% Votei14Voude22185d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $24.9k0% bosshog185d agoexcluded