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What this means. A wallet put $24.9k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?excluded
$24.9k
SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ · 25,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports

What happened

Wallet bosshog took Yes (sell) for $24.9k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $24.9k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.8¢
Implied odds
0.2%
Size
$24.9k
Placed
Apr 21, 16:00 EDT
Market close
Apr 24, 20:30 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
bosshog
Tx
0xaae1e068…

Entry to resolution

Grade -0 pts
Yes price · entry 99.8¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.8¢ · $24.9k WHALE $24.9K @ 99.8¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $67.4k
2.4× usual
0% debased184d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $31.9k
2.3× usual
0% mindeirs185d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $641.9k100% 0x90ca…1a4b185d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ $27.1k0% ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN185d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ $24.3k100% NotBakerMcKenzie185d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.7¢ $65.7k
4.3× usual
0% Votei14Voude22185d agoexcluded