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What this means. A wallet put $67.4k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 13 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$67.4k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 67,505 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)2.4× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet debased took Yes (sell) for $67.4k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $67.4k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $67.4k
- Placed
- Apr 22, 20:17 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 24, 20:30 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- debased
- Tx
- 0xc9a0b36d…
This wallet's graded record
13/13+12.5 pts
expected 11.4 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -0 ptsYes price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $31.9k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $641.9k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $27.1k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.8¢ | $24.3k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.7¢ | $65.7k 4.3× usual |
excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ | $24.9k | excluded |