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What this means. A wallet put $12.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 90% chance. It won. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$12.5k
BUY No @ 90¢ · 13,916 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet WordleAddict took No (buy) for $12.5k at an average 90¢. At that price the market implied a 90% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $12.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 90¢ means
90%chance the market gave
−900American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 90¢
- Implied odds
- 90.0%
- As American odds
- −900 no vig
- Size
- $12.5k
- Placed
- Jul 15, 16:40 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- WordleAddict
- Tx
- 0x9cfa00e1…
This wallet's graded record
6/10-1.5 pts
expected 6.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +10 ptsNo price · entry 90¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $53.9k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 77¢ | $104.3k 4.7× usual |
called |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 82¢ | $35.0k 2.1× usual |
called |