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What this means. A wallet put $89.9k on No, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 6 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$89.9k
BUY No @ 99.9¢ · 90,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2.7× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet bin74848484848 took No (buy) for $89.9k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $89.9k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 99.9%
- Size
- $89.9k
- Placed
- Jul 19, 18:02 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- bin74848484848
- Tx
- 0x2a85fca6…
This wallet's graded record
3/6-12.2 pts
expected 3.7 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +0 ptsNo price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $53.9k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 77¢ | $104.3k 4.7× usual |
called |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 82¢ | $35.0k 2.1× usual |
called |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 90.1¢ | $12.2k | missed |