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What this means. A wallet put $40.5k on No, at a price that gave it a 81% chance. It won. This wallet has a proven record: +17.9 pts vs the price over 32 bets. A bet from a wallet like this is worth a look; one from a random whale usually isn't. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$40.5k
BUY No @ 81¢ · 50,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Proven wallet2.3× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet purplegatto took No (buy) for $40.5k at an average 81¢. At that price the market implied a 81% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $40.5k+1
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 81¢ means
81%chance the market gave
−429American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 81¢
- Implied odds
- 81.1%
- As American odds
- −429 no vig
- Size
- $40.5k
- Placed
- Jul 12, 09:59 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- purplegatto
- Tx
- 0x8a0b45b1…
This wallet's graded record
28/32+17.9 pts
expected 22.3 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +19 ptsNo price · entry 81¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $53.9k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 77¢ | $104.3k 4.7× usual |
called |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 82¢ | $35.0k 2.1× usual |
called |