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Polymarket · Sports · one bet
Excluded
$16.8k
Spread: Packers (-3.5)
surfandturf sold Packers at 69¢. Their side is the other outcome, which the price gave a 31% chance. 24,379 shares, Oct 29, 21:35 EDT.
What this means. A wallet put $16.8k on not Packers, at a price that gave it a 31% chance. The market resolved Packers, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet
What happened
Wallet surfandturf sold Packers for $16.8k at an average 69¢. At that price the market implied 31% for the side they took. The market resolved Packers. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
[02] Flag
Why it was flagged
Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology
Size $16.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
[04] Price
Entry to resolution
Entry to resolution
Grade -31 ptsPackers price · entry 69¢ · resolved Packers · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Related news
Same names, last 7 daysPackers WR Watson returns to play with broken rib after trip to hospitalESPN · 14m agoPackers' Jacobs says TD celebration was ode to gospel song, not mocking arrestESPN · 14m agoJosh Jacobs scores twice as Packers dispatch PanthersESPN · 1h ago
Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Packers (-3.5) | LOW BUY Packers @ 50¢ | $19.8k | Excluded |
| Spread: Packers (-3.5) | LOW BUY Panthers @ 50¢ | $50.0k 3.7× usual |
Excluded |
| Spread: Packers (-3.5) | LOW BUY Panthers @ 50¢ | $20.0k | Excluded |
| Spread: Packers (-3.5) | MED BUY Panthers @ 50¢ | $50.0k | Missed |
| Spread: Packers (-3.5) | LOW BUY Panthers @ 50¢ | $14.5k | Missed |
| Spread: Packers (-3.5) | LOW BUY Packers @ 51¢ | $25.5k | Called |