WhaleGrader Account
← Live flags

Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$20.0k

Spread: Packers (-3.5)

0x16bb…8492 bought Panthers at 50¢. The price gave that side a 50% chance. 40,000 shares, Oct 29, 19:21 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $20.0k on Panthers, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. The market resolved Packers, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet 0x16bb…8492 bought Panthers for $20.0k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied 50% for the side they took. The market resolved Packers. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

This wallet is 0 of 1 on graded bets, -50.0 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $20.0k+0
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What 50¢ means
50%chance the market gave
−100American odds
$1.00paid per share if Panthers wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade -50 pts
Panthers price · entry 50¢ · resolved Packers
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 50¢ · $20.0k WHALE $20.0K @ 50¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Spread: Packers (-3.5)LOW SELL Packers @ 69¢ $16.8k31% surfandturf3h agoExcluded
Spread: Packers (-3.5)LOW BUY Packers @ 50¢ $19.8k50% 0x2c33…05634h agoExcluded
Spread: Packers (-3.5)LOW BUY Panthers @ 50¢ $50.0k
3.7× usual
50% mooseborzoi5h agoExcluded
Spread: Packers (-3.5)MED BUY Panthers @ 50¢ $50.0k50% wollao NEW7h agoMissed
Spread: Packers (-3.5)LOW BUY Panthers @ 50¢ $14.5k50% mooseborzoi7h agoMissed
Spread: Packers (-3.5)LOW BUY Packers @ 51¢ $25.5k51% surfandturf7h agoCalled