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Polymarket · Sports · one bet

Excluded
$19.8k

Spread: Packers (-3.5)

0x2c33…0563 bought Packers at 50¢. The price gave that side a 50% chance. 39,489 shares, Oct 29, 20:37 EDT.

What this means. A wallet put $19.8k on Packers, at a price that gave it a 50% chance. The market resolved Packers, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
[01] Bet

What happened

Wallet 0x2c33…0563 bought Packers for $19.8k at an average 50¢. At that price the market implied 50% for the side they took. The market resolved Packers. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

This wallet is 3 of 5 on graded bets, +14.8 pts versus the price. The sample is still short. Big is not the same as right.

[02] Flag

Why it was flagged

Low. Labels do not change the grade. Methodology

Size $19.8k+0
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports
What 50¢ means
50%chance the market gave
−100American odds
$1.00paid per share if Packers wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

[04] Price

Entry to resolution

Entry to resolution

Grade +50 pts
Packers price · entry 50¢ · resolved Packers
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 50¢ · $19.8k WHALE $19.8K @ 50¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

[05]

Other flags on this market

Market page
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Spread: Packers (-3.5)LOW SELL Packers @ 69¢ $16.8k31% surfandturf3h agoExcluded
Spread: Packers (-3.5)LOW BUY Panthers @ 50¢ $50.0k
3.7× usual
50% mooseborzoi5h agoExcluded
Spread: Packers (-3.5)LOW BUY Panthers @ 50¢ $20.0k50% 0x16bb…84926h agoExcluded
Spread: Packers (-3.5)MED BUY Panthers @ 50¢ $50.0k50% wollao NEW7h agoMissed
Spread: Packers (-3.5)LOW BUY Panthers @ 50¢ $14.5k50% mooseborzoi7h agoMissed
Spread: Packers (-3.5)LOW BUY Packers @ 51¢ $25.5k51% surfandturf7h agoCalled