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What this means. A wallet put $10.6k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 83% chance. It won. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?called
$10.6k
SELL Yes @ 17¢ · 62,112 shares
Size ≥ $10kEarly (>24h before close)Sports

What happened

Wallet vincentchase11 took Yes (sell) for $10.6k at an average 17¢. At that price the market implied a 83% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $10.6k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
17¢
Implied odds
83.0%
As American odds
−487 no vig
Size
$10.6k
Placed
Jun 15, 19:41 EDT
Market close
Jul 14, 20:07 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
vincentchase11
Tx
0x5bb14012…
This wallet's graded record
5/7+4.4 pts
expected 4.7 from price
Share this receipt

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $19.4k0% sh0000102d agoexcluded
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $37.5k100% bin74848484848102d agoexcluded
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢ $43.5k99% Prometheusssss102d agoexcluded
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?MED BUY No @ 97.7¢ $2.57M
64.0× usual
98% 0x2c33…0563102d agoexcluded
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?LOW BUY No @ 97.5¢ $30.3k98% Bertapotamous102d agoexcluded
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?MED SELL No @ 97¢ $26.7k3% macrosteaks102d agomissed