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What this means. A wallet put $19.5k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Trump out as President by April 30?excluded
$19.5k
SELL No @ 99.3¢ · 19,614 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Politics

What happened

Wallet Eatpraylove took No (sell) for $19.5k at an average 99.3¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $19.5k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.3¢
Implied odds
0.7%
Size
$19.5k
Placed
Apr 19, 13:20 EDT
Market close
Apr 29, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Eatpraylove
Tx
0x3350f013…
This wallet's graded record
9/10-1.0 pts
expected 9.1 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -1 pts
No price · entry 99.3¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.3¢ · $19.5k WHALE $19.5K @ 99.3¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Trump out as President by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $54.6k0% JamesBonder007177d agoexcluded
Trump out as President by April 30?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $30.0k100% tianjiyuyunzhilu178d agoexcluded
Trump out as President by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $11.2k0% wish-179d agoexcluded
Trump out as President by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $49.9k0% 0x7131…29cc180d agoexcluded
Trump out as President by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $13.0k0% studmuffin6969180d agoexcluded
Trump out as President by April 30?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $19.0k0% KiernanMeister181d agoexcluded