Sunday, January 4, 2026

292 whale trades totalling $6.16M from 164 wallets. Biggest: $299.9k buy No on “Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?” at 99.5¢.

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?	MED BUY No @ 99.5¢	$299.9k 13.9× usual	99%	scottilicious PROVEN	292d ago	excluded
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$226.3k 6.8× usual	100%	Alexparker	293d ago	excluded
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?	MED SELL No @ 99.9¢	$194.7k 5.5× usual	0%	tsybka	293d ago	excluded
Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?	LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢	$169.9k	0%	0xfbfb…f563	293d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?	LOW SELL No @ 99.6¢	$119.5k	0%	Ryan888	292d ago	excluded
Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?	LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢	$102.9k	100%	Trevor99	293d ago	excluded
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?	MED BUY No @ 88¢	$101.7k 4.2× usual	88%	ImJustKen	293d ago	called	Trade this
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$101.3k	100%	0xd198…3393	293d ago	excluded
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$99.9k	100%	Martiini	293d ago	excluded
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$99.9k	100%	Martiini	293d ago	excluded
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$99.9k	100%	Martiini	293d ago	excluded
Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$99.9k	100%	Martiini	293d ago	excluded
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢	$99.9k	100%	Martiini	293d ago	excluded
Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?	LOW BUY No @ 99.2¢	$82.5k	99%	4gibg4i3o	293d ago	excluded
Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?	LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢	$79.9k	100%	Official-Market-Maker	293d ago	excluded

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.5¢$299.9k

MED PROVEN scottilicious · 292d ago

Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$226.3k

LOW Alexparker · 293d ago

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$194.7k

MED tsybka · 293d ago

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?excluded

SELL No @ 99.9¢$169.9k

LOW 0xfbfb…f563 · 293d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 99.6¢$119.5k

LOW Ryan888 · 292d ago

Will Ethereum reach $6,000 in January?excluded

BUY No @ 99.8¢$102.9k

LOW Trevor99 · 293d ago

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?called

BUY No @ 88¢$101.7k

MED ImJustKen · 293d ago

Trade this

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in January?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$101.3k

LOW 0xd198…3393 · 293d ago

Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$99.9k

LOW Martiini · 293d ago

Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$99.9k

LOW Martiini · 293d ago

Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$99.9k

LOW Martiini · 293d ago

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$99.9k

LOW Martiini · 293d ago

Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?excluded

BUY No @ 99.9¢$99.9k

LOW Martiini · 293d ago

Will the Carolina Panthers win Super Bowl 2026?excluded

BUY No @ 99.2¢$82.5k

LOW 4gibg4i3o · 293d ago

Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?excluded

BUY Yes @ 99.9¢$79.9k

LOW Official-Market-Maker · 293d ago

Most traded markets

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$1.79M · 123 flags

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?

$1.62M · 113 flags

Maduro in U.S. custody by January 31?

$648.1k · 13 flags

Will Eleven die in "Stranger Things: Season 5"?

$421.6k · 6 flags

Nicolás Maduro released from custody by January 9, 2026?

$312.8k · 2 flags

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?

$166.2k · 5 flags