Saturday, November 29, 2025

27 whale trades totalling $1.84M from 23 wallets. Biggest: $420.9k buy No on “Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?” at 98.9¢.

Biggest trades

Market	Flag	Size	Implied odds	Wallet	When	Result
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢	$420.9k 3.6× usual	99%	0x847b…1027	328d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	MED SELL No @ 98.9¢	$280.7k 3.8× usual	1%	0xea8e…3de0	328d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99¢	$184.1k 3.1× usual	99%	0x1fad…b5b2	328d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99¢	$164.3k 3.3× usual	99%	0x6327…e181	328d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 98.9¢	$150.0k 4.0× usual	99%	rooivalk	329d ago	excluded
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	MED SELL Yes @ 65¢	$106.6k 2.5× usual	35%	0xa987…141d	328d ago	missed	Trade this
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$90.3k 2.2× usual	100%	Pestle	328d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW SELL No @ 98.7¢	$56.1k 2.4× usual	1%	0x3b91…e572	328d ago	excluded
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99¢	$52.8k 2.2× usual	99%	Istaroth	328d ago	excluded
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 92¢	$47.6k	92%	0xaed1…8f84	328d ago	excluded
Xi Jinping out in 2025?	LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢	$32.2k	99%	BinaryBaron	328d ago	excluded
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?	LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢	$23.6k	100%	locuspm	328d ago	excluded
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	LOW BUY Yes @ 20¢	$22.1k	20%	4gibg4i3o	328d ago	missed	Trade this
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	LOW BUY No @ 99.4¢	$20.5k	99%	0x6327…e181	328d ago	excluded
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	LOW SELL No @ 99.3¢	$20.4k	1%	0x6327…e181	328d ago	excluded

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.9¢$420.9k

LOW 0x847b…1027 · 328d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

SELL No @ 98.9¢$280.7k

MED 0xea8e…3de0 · 328d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99¢$184.1k

LOW 0x1fad…b5b2 · 328d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99¢$164.3k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 328d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 98.9¢$150.0k

LOW rooivalk · 329d ago

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?missed

SELL Yes @ 65¢$106.6k

MED 0xa987…141d · 328d ago

Trade this

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$90.3k

LOW Pestle · 328d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

SELL No @ 98.7¢$56.1k

LOW 0x3b91…e572 · 328d ago

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99¢$52.8k

LOW Istaroth · 328d ago

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 92¢$47.6k

LOW 0xaed1…8f84 · 328d ago

Xi Jinping out in 2025?excluded

BUY No @ 98.8¢$32.2k

LOW BinaryBaron · 328d ago

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?excluded

BUY No @ 99.7¢$23.6k

LOW locuspm · 328d ago

Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?missed

BUY Yes @ 20¢$22.1k

LOW 4gibg4i3o · 328d ago

Trade this

Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?excluded

BUY No @ 99.4¢$20.5k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 328d ago

Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?excluded

SELL No @ 99.3¢$20.4k

LOW 0x6327…e181 · 328d ago

Most traded markets

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

$1.37M · 13 flags

Xi Jinping out in 2025?

$128.6k · 6 flags

Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after December 2025 meeting?

$113.9k · 2 flags

Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?

$106.6k · 1 flags

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

$60.2k · 2 flags

Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?

$40.8k · 2 flags