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What this means. We haven't graded any of this wallet's $10k+ bets yet. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
—
Called / graded
0/0
Expected from price
0.0
Flagged volume
$356.9k
Sample size0 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±0.0 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$49.7k
Last 30 days +$0 · $12.43M volume · 19,320 trades · since Oct 17, 20:00 EDT
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 500 closed
+$853.1k
Open P&L · 0 positions
+$0
Closed-position win rate
100%
500 closed
Wallet age · markets
372d
860 markets traded
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.7¢ | $15.3k | excluded |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $29.9k | excluded |
 Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 98.8¢ | $32.2k | excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 98.2¢ | $13.1k | excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 97.6¢ | $67.4k 2.3× usual |
excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 97.6¢ | $57.3k | excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 97.8¢ | $50.9k | excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW SELL No @ 97.9¢ | $44.1k | excluded |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025? | LOW BUY No @ 94¢ | $14.6k | called |
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