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What this means. A wallet put $12.2k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?excluded
$12.2k
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ · 12,252 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other

What happened

Wallet BinaryBaron took Yes (buy) for $12.2k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $12.2k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
99.9%
Size
$12.2k
Placed
May 12, 11:55 EDT
Market close
May 05, 12:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
BinaryBaron
Tx
0x3b568eca…