Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?
Who's on each side
Whale money on this market, split by track record. Proven wallets beat the price over 20+ graded bets; losing wallets clearly lost to it. Everyone else is unrated.
| Side | All whales | Proven | Losing |
|---|---|---|---|
| Not Yes | $1.83M 1 flag |
none | none |
| Yes | $1.11M 4 flags |
none | none |
| No | $69.3k 3 flags |
$15.8k 1 wallet |
none |
A proven wallet on a side is a reason to look closer, not a verdict. Records come from past bets; see how to use this. Information, not advice.
Flags on this market
| Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|
| MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $1.83M | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $47.2k | excluded |
| HIGH BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $977.5k | excluded |
| MED BUY No @ 49¢ | $35.0k | excluded |
| MED BUY Yes @ 51¢ | $70.1k | excluded |
| LOW BUY Yes @ 51¢ | $17.7k | excluded |
| LOW BUY No @ 52¢ | $18.5k | missed |
| LOW BUY No @ 52¢ | $15.8k | missed |
Summary
WhaleGrader has logged 8 whale trades on this market totalling $3.02M from 7 wallets. The largest was $1.83M (sell Yes at 99.9¢). Most whale money ($1.83M) went against Yes. 4 of 8 graded flags here called the outcome. The biggest whale here, 0xe6ca…bff4 ($2.81M), has called 0 of 2 graded flags overall (-65.7 pts vs price).
Market data from Polymarket (unl-den-prt-2026-10-01-prt).