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Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $35.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01?excluded$35.0k
BUY No @ 49¢ · 71,599 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet predictionlegend took No (buy) for $35.0k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $35.0k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 49¢ means
49%chance the market gave
+104American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 49¢
- Implied odds
- 48.9%
- As American odds
- +104 no vig
- Size
- $35.0k
- Placed
- Oct 01, 14:36 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 01, 14:45 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- predictionlegend
- Tx
- 0x423dfd0a…
This wallet's graded record
0/4-49.5 pts
expected 2.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -49 ptsNo price · entry 49¢ · resolved Yes
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | MED SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $1.83M | excluded |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $47.2k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | HIGH BUY Yes @ 53¢ | $977.5k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | MED BUY Yes @ 51¢ | $70.1k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | LOW BUY Yes @ 51¢ | $17.7k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-10-01? | LOW BUY No @ 52¢ | $18.5k | missed |