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What this means. A wallet put $23.6k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 5% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 15 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$23.6k
SELL Yes @ 94.9¢ · 24,897 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other
What happened
Wallet foodenjoyer took Yes (sell) for $23.6k at an average 94.9¢. At that price the market implied a 5% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $23.6k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 94.9¢
- Implied odds
- 5.1%
- Size
- $23.6k
- Placed
- Feb 28, 15:28 EST
- Market close
- Mar 03, 19:58 EST
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- foodenjoyer
- Tx
- 0xfec2a306…
This wallet's graded record
13/15+11.7 pts
expected 11.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -5 ptsYes price · entry 94.9¢ · resolved Yes · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $12.5k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $161.5k 8.1× usual |
excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k | excluded |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k | excluded |