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What this means. A wallet put $14.8k on not No, at a price that gave it a 1% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?excluded
$14.8k
SELL No @ 99.2¢ · 14,952 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet Tigerofthehood took No (sell) for $14.8k at an average 99.2¢. At that price the market implied a 1% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $14.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.2¢
Implied odds
0.8%
Size
$14.8k
Placed
May 11, 10:35 EDT
Market close
May 14, 20:00 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
Tigerofthehood
Tx
0xfcc51407…
This wallet's graded record
10/11+10.6 pts
expected 8.8 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade -1 pts
No price · entry 99.2¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.2¢ · $14.8k WHALE $14.8K @ 99.2¢ MISSED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $13.0k100% elmcap2158d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $47.2k
2.1× usual
0% Gleaming-Pear158d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ $26.4k100% Gleaming-Pear159d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?LOW SELL No @ 99.8¢ $17.8k0% 0xd165…f2b8159d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $37.8k
2.1× usual
0% MisTKy PROVEN159d agoexcluded
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $60.9k0% Dafu0715160d agoexcluded