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What this means. A wallet put $33.4k on No, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. It won. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$33.4k
BUY No @ 95.4¢ · 34,973 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteOther
What happened
Wallet Chelseaone took No (buy) for $33.4k at an average 95.4¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $33.4k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−2060American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95.4¢
- Implied odds
- 95.4%
- Size
- $33.4k
- Placed
- Mar 30, 17:58 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- Chelseaone
- Tx
- 0xfb282f69…
This wallet's graded record
10/11+7.8 pts
expected 9.1 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +5 ptsNo price · entry 95.4¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $47.6k 2.4× usual |
excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $41.2k | excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $249.8k 9.3× usual |
excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.9k | excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $97.4k 3.6× usual |
excluded |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $48.8k 2.4× usual |
excluded |