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What this means. A wallet put $33.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 99% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 7 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Netanyahu out by March 31?excluded
$33.0k
BUY No @ 99.4¢ · 33,185 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteEarly (>24h before close)Other

What happened

Wallet 0xe639…082a took No (buy) for $33.0k at an average 99.4¢. At that price the market implied a 99% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $33.0k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 99¢ means
99%chance the market gave
−16567American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.4¢
Implied odds
99.4%
Size
$33.0k
Placed
Mar 26, 23:54 EDT
Market close
Mar 31, 23:59 EDT
Result
No
Counts toward score
yes
Wallet
0xe639…082a
Tx
0xeeb9fb20…
This wallet's graded record
6/7+0.1 pts
expected 6.0 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +1 pts
No price · entry 99.4¢ · resolved No
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 99.4¢ · $33.0k WHALE $33.0K @ 99.4¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $40.0k
2.1× usual
0% westminster203d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $32.0k0% manekineko203d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $20.0k0% ThanksGivingTurkey1001203d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $89.9k
4.4× usual
0% tetrase203d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $24.5k0% TheMayor203d agoexcluded
Netanyahu out by March 31?LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ $29.9k0% uycghj4204d agoexcluded