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What this means. A wallet put $54.9k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 5 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?excluded
$54.9k
SELL Yes @ 99.8¢ · 55,000 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog side3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)3.6× this wallet's usual betSports

What happened

Wallet Votei14Voude22 took Yes (sell) for $54.9k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $54.9k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
Entry price
99.8¢
Implied odds
0.2%
Size
$54.9k
Placed
Apr 22, 07:20 EDT
Market close
Apr 06, 20:00 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
Votei14Voude22
Tx
0xe63b76db…
This wallet's graded record
5/5+13.8 pts
expected 4.3 from price

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $79.9k
2.8× usual
0% 95074f700f93bdf6e62fc965183d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $29.9k0% Valen9183d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $25.0k0% mr.ozi183d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $11.6k0% Valen9183d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $50.0k0% ArmageddonRewardsBilly PROVEN183d agoexcluded
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $58.1k100% scout183d agoexcluded