← Live flags
What this means. A wallet put $50.0k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+2.3 pts over 28 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$50.0k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 50,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Proven walletSports
What happened
Wallet ArmageddonRewardsBilly took Yes (sell) for $50.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $50.0k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $50.0k
- Placed
- Apr 24, 07:21 EDT
- Market close
- Apr 06, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- ArmageddonRewardsBilly
- Tx
- 0xdfab8090…
This wallet's graded record
13/28+2.3 pts
expected 12.4 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $79.9k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $29.9k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $25.0k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $11.6k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $58.1k | excluded |
| Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |