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Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $62.2k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 47% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?excluded$62.2k
SELL Yes @ 53¢ · 117,312 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)2.1× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0xa078…419a took Yes (sell) for $62.2k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 47% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $62.2k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 53¢
- Implied odds
- 47.0%
- As American odds
- +113 no vig
- Size
- $62.2k
- Placed
- Jun 27, 19:11 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 27, 19:30 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0xa078…419a
- Tx
- 0xe61cafdc…
This wallet's graded record
2/3+0.7 pts
expected 2.0 from price
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Entry to resolution
Grade +53 ptsYes price · entry 53¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL Yes @ 29¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL Yes @ 29¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY No @ 69¢ | $27.5k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY Yes @ 45¢ | $90.0k 2.4× usual |
excluded |