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What this means. A wallet put $19.9k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 2 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$19.9k
BUY Yes @ 99.7¢ · 20,003 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet The-Joker took Yes (buy) for $19.9k at an average 99.7¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $19.9k+0
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 99.7¢
- Implied odds
- 99.7%
- Size
- $19.9k
- Placed
- Jul 20, 22:06 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- The-Joker
- Tx
- 0xe10a856c…
This wallet's graded record
1/2-1.5 pts
expected 1.0 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $36.5k | excluded |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $20.1k | excluded |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $257.6k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $149.8k 6.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $999.0k 19.9× usual |
excluded |