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What this means. A wallet put $20.1k on not Yes, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$20.1k
SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ · 20,100 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Fresh walletOther
What happened
Wallet birdsofafeather took Yes (sell) for $20.1k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.1k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
Fresh wallet (new or ≤5 markets)+2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $20.1k
- Placed
- Jul 22, 20:33 EDT
- Market close
- Jul 19, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- Yes
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- birdsofafeather
- Tx
- 0x78a84571…
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ | $36.5k | excluded |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $257.6k 3.3× usual |
excluded |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $50.0k 2.5× usual |
excluded |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $149.8k 6.0× usual |
excluded |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $999.0k 19.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo? | LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ | $208.8k | excluded |