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What this means. A wallet put $50.0k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 100% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no graded bets yet. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?excluded
$50.0k
BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ · 50,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favoriteLate (<1h before start)2.5× this wallet's usual betOther

What happened

Wallet DonationsReceiver took Yes (buy) for $50.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 100% chance for that side. The market resolved Yes. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $50.0k+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 100¢ means
100%chance the market gave
—American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
99.9¢
Implied odds
99.9%
Size
$50.0k
Placed
Jul 22, 20:27 EDT
Market close
Jul 19, 23:59 EDT
Result
Yes
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
DonationsReceiver
Tx
0xda95fd35…

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResult
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $36.5k0% Seutervoinen92d agoexcluded
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?LOW SELL Yes @ 99.9¢ $20.1k0% birdsofafeather NEW93d agoexcluded
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?MED BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $257.6k
3.3× usual
100% 03303303393d agoexcluded
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $149.8k
6.0× usual
100% 0x4488…e31993d agoexcluded
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $999.0k
20.1× usual
100% elmcap293d agoexcluded
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?LOW BUY Yes @ 99.9¢ $208.8k100% GingFring93d agoexcluded