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What this means. A wallet put $24.5k on Heat, at a price that gave it a 49% chance. The market resolved Heat, and this bet is not graded. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Excluded
$24.5k
BUY Heat @ 49¢ · 50,051 shares
Size ≥ $10kLate (<1h before start)Sports

What happened

Wallet ferrariChampions2026 took Heat (buy) for $24.5k at an average 49¢. At that price the market implied a 49% chance for that side. The market resolved Heat. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.

Why this was flagged

LOW
Size $24.5k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 49¢ means
49%chance the market gave
+104American odds
$1.00paid per share if Heat wins

Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.

Entry price
49¢
Implied odds
49.0%
As American odds
+104 no vig
Size
$24.5k
Placed
Oct 28, 18:27 EDT
Market close
Oct 28, 19:00 EDT
Result
Heat
Counts toward score
no
Wallet
ferrariChampions2026
Tx
0xdd6c046a…
This wallet's graded record
3/4+20.8 pts
expected 2.2 from price

Entry to resolution

Grade +51 pts
Heat price · entry 49¢ · resolved Heat
0¢25¢50¢75¢100¢ Whale entry 49¢ · $24.5k WHALE $24.5K @ 49¢ CALLED
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.

Related news

Same names, last 7 days

Public RSS headlines that use a team, person, or institution also named in this market. We did not write them, and they are not a read on the odds. Sources and matching rules

Other flags on this market

Market page →
MarketFlagSizeImplied oddsWalletWhenResultOpen on Polymarket
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)LOW BUY Hawks @ 53¢ $19.5k53% Nooserac11h agoExcluded
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)HIGH BUY Hawks @ 51¢ $325.0k51% googleplay12h agoExcluded
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)LOW BUY Hawks @ 52¢ $30.0k52% BrotherObama12h agoExcluded
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)LOW BUY Hawks @ 48¢ $11.9k48% 0xb4f9…c9a718h agoMissed
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)LOW BUY Heat @ 52¢ $11.4k52% ArielFilipino20h agoCalled