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What this means. A wallet put $11.9k on Hawks, at a price that gave it a 48% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Hawks (-2.5)Missed
$11.9k
BUY Hawks @ 48¢ · 24,841 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet 0xb4f9…c9a7 took Hawks (buy) for $11.9k at an average 48¢. At that price the market implied a 48% chance for that side. The market resolved Heat, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.9k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 48¢ means
48%chance the market gave
+108American odds
$1.00paid per share if Hawks wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 48¢
- Implied odds
- 48.0%
- As American odds
- +108 no vig
- Size
- $11.9k
- Placed
- Oct 28, 12:07 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 28, 19:00 EDT
- Result
- Heat
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- 0xb4f9…c9a7
- Tx
- 0x244310f4…
This wallet's graded record
3/4+24.8 pts
expected 2.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -48 ptsHawks price · entry 48¢ · resolved Heat
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) | LOW BUY Hawks @ 53¢ | $19.5k | Excluded |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) | HIGH BUY Hawks @ 51¢ | $325.0k | Excluded |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) | LOW BUY Hawks @ 52¢ | $30.0k | Excluded |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) | LOW BUY Heat @ 49¢ | $24.5k | Excluded |
| Spread: Hawks (-2.5) | LOW BUY Heat @ 52¢ | $11.4k | Called |