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Netanyahu out by March 31?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $165.3k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 11 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Netanyahu out by March 31?excluded$165.3k
SELL No @ 99.8¢ · 165,636 shares
Size ≥ $100kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)6.5× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet Tigerofthehood took No (sell) for $165.3k at an average 99.8¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $165.3k+2
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.8¢
- Implied odds
- 0.2%
- Size
- $165.3k
- Placed
- Apr 01, 02:39 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 31, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Tigerofthehood
- Tx
- 0xd7035139…
This wallet's graded record
10/11+10.6 pts
expected 8.8 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $32.0k | excluded |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k 4.4× usual |
excluded |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.5k | excluded |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $29.9k | excluded |