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Spread: Pistons (-4.5)missed
What this means. A wallet put $35.7k on Pistons, at a price that gave it a 48% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 12 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)missed$35.7k
BUY Pistons @ 48¢ · 74,345 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet ChloeT1 took Pistons (buy) for $35.7k at an average 48¢. At that price the market implied a 48% chance for that side. The market resolved Cavaliers, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $35.7k+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 48¢ means
48%chance the market gave
+108American odds
$1.00paid per share if Pistons wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 48¢
- Implied odds
- 48.0%
- As American odds
- +108 no vig
- Size
- $35.7k
- Placed
- May 13, 16:48 EDT
- Market close
- May 13, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Cavaliers
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- ChloeT1
- Tx
- 0xd4eb7799…
This wallet's graded record
10/12+16.9 pts
expected 8.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -48 ptsPistons price · entry 48¢ · resolved Cavaliers
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) | LOW SELL Cavaliers @ 99.9¢ | $17.9k | excluded |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) | LOW SELL Cavaliers @ 99.9¢ | $15.8k | excluded |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) | MED BUY Cavaliers @ 53¢ | $79.5k 3.4× usual |
excluded |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) | LOW BUY Pistons @ 48¢ | $25.7k | excluded |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) | LOW SELL Cavaliers @ 52¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) | LOW BUY Pistons @ 48¢ | $75.0k | missed |