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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.4 wins, so it did -41.0 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-41.0 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.4
Flagged volume
$176.6k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±49.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$157.7k
Last 30 days −$2,051 · $5.68M volume · 2,127 trades · since Feb 09, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L · recent 474 closed
−$68.6k
Open P&L · 54 positions
−$84.6k
Closed-position win rate
52%
474 closed
Wallet age · markets
257d
529 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.4 | -41.0 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Thunder vs. Spurs | LOW BUY Thunder @ 41¢ | $30.8k | missed |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | MED SELL Thunder @ 68¢ | $25.2k | missed |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | LOW BUY Thunder @ 69¢ | $34.8k | called |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | LOW SELL Knicks @ 99.9¢ | $29.0k | excluded |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | LOW BUY Knicks @ 69¢ | $11.5k | called |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) | LOW SELL Cavaliers @ 99.9¢ | $17.9k | excluded |
 Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakina | MED SELL Elina Svitolina @ 83¢ | $27.3k | excluded |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0x8f3c56…