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Spread: Pistons (-4.5)excluded
What this means. A wallet put $79.5k on Cavaliers, at a price that gave it a 53% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-20.1 pts over 20 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)excluded$79.5k
BUY Cavaliers @ 53¢ · 150,000 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)3.4× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet Feromont took Cavaliers (buy) for $79.5k at an average 53¢. At that price the market implied a 53% chance for that side. The market resolved Cavaliers. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $79.5k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 53¢ means
53%chance the market gave
−113American odds
$1.00paid per share if Cavaliers wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 53¢
- Implied odds
- 53.0%
- As American odds
- −113 no vig
- Size
- $79.5k
- Placed
- May 13, 20:03 EDT
- Market close
- May 13, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Cavaliers
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- Feromont
- Tx
- 0x8bfc8d20…
This wallet's graded record
8/20-20.1 pts
expected 12.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +47 ptsCavaliers price · entry 53¢ · resolved Cavaliers
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) | LOW SELL Cavaliers @ 99.9¢ | $17.9k | excluded |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) | LOW SELL Cavaliers @ 99.9¢ | $15.8k | excluded |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) | LOW BUY Pistons @ 48¢ | $25.7k | excluded |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) | LOW SELL Cavaliers @ 52¢ | $11.4k | excluded |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) | LOW BUY Pistons @ 48¢ | $75.0k | missed |
| Spread: Pistons (-4.5) | LOW BUY Cavaliers @ 52¢ | $23.2k | called |