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Spread: Pistons (-4.5)called
What this means. A wallet put $23.2k on Cavaliers, at a price that gave it a 52% chance. It won. This wallet has a losing record: -16.0 pts vs the price over 55 bets. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$23.2k
BUY Cavaliers @ 52¢ · 44,698 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet mooseborzoi took Cavaliers (buy) for $23.2k at an average 52¢. At that price the market implied a 52% chance for that side. The market resolved Cavaliers, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $23.2k+0
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 52¢ means
52%chance the market gave
−108American odds
$1.00paid per share if Cavaliers wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 52¢
- Implied odds
- 52.0%
- As American odds
- −108 no vig
- Size
- $23.2k
- Placed
- May 13, 18:08 EDT
- Market close
- May 13, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- Cavaliers
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- mooseborzoi
- Tx
- 0xa720dd1c…
This wallet's graded record
28/55-16.0 pts
expected 36.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +48 ptsCavaliers price · entry 52¢ · resolved Cavaliers
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Cavaliers @ 99.9¢ | $17.9k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Cavaliers @ 99.9¢ | $15.8k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Cavaliers @ 53¢ | $79.5k 3.4× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW BUY Pistons @ 48¢ | $25.7k | excluded | |
| LOW SELL Cavaliers @ 52¢ | $11.4k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Pistons @ 48¢ | $75.0k | missed |