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What this means. A wallet put $108.0k on No, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. It won. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$108.0k
BUY No @ 95.3¢ · 113,346 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $100kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hEarly (>24h before close)3× this wallet's usual betOther
What happened
Wallet tsybka took No (buy) for $108.0k at an average 95.3¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $108.0k+2
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−2028American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95.3¢
- Implied odds
- 95.3%
- Size
- $108.0k
- Placed
- Mar 13, 10:36 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 30, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- tsybka
- Tx
- 0xd4e7a7bc…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+71.4 pts
expected 0.3 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $99.9k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $14.0k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.8k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $17.8k | excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $60.4k 2.8× usual |
excluded |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31? | MED SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $369.4k 9.9× usual |
excluded |