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What this means. A wallet put $11.4k on Yes, at a price that gave it a 13% chance. It lost. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.4k
BUY Yes @ 13¢ · 90,795 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideEarly (>24h before close)Sports
What happened
Wallet SOLE214 took Yes (buy) for $11.4k at an average 13¢. At that price the market implied a 13% chance for that side. The market resolved No, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.4k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 13¢ means
13%chance the market gave
+695American odds
$1.00paid per share if Yes wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 13¢
- Implied odds
- 12.6%
- As American odds
- +695 no vig
- Size
- $11.4k
- Placed
- Feb 28, 02:34 EST
- Market close
- Jul 19, 20:00 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- SOLE214
- Tx
- 0xd3cd03e4…
This wallet's graded record
0/1-12.6 pts
expected 0.1 from price
Share this receipt
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $30.0k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k 2.7× usual |
excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 99.8¢ | $53.9k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 77¢ | $104.3k 4.7× usual |
called |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY No @ 97.1¢ | $14.8k | excluded |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | MED BUY No @ 82¢ | $35.0k 2.1× usual |
called |