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What this means. On its $10k+ bets, this wallet won 0 of 1. The prices it paid implied about 0.1 wins, so it did -12.6 pts worse than the market expected. That's only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Information, not advice. How to read this →
Price-adjusted edge
-12.6 pts
Called / graded
0/1
Expected from price
0.1
Flagged volume
$35.3k
Sample size1 graded · too small to judge skill
We treat records under 20 graded flags as noise. ±33.2 pts std. error.
Lifetime P&L on Polymarket
−$67.3k
Last 30 days +$295 · $2.92M volume · 1,890 trades · since Jan 10, 19:00 EST
All of this wallet's trading, from Polymarket's P&L data (realized + open). Our grades below only cover its $10k+ bets, scored against the price paid. A big P&L can come from a few huge wins; edge vs price tells you whether it's repeatable.
Polymarket profile
all trades, not just flags · public Data APIRealized P&L
−$61.8k
Open P&L · 5 positions
−$8,937
Closed-position win rate
34%
82 closed
Wallet age · markets
287d
87 markets traded
By category
| Category | Graded | Called | Expected | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sports | 1 | 0 | 0.1 | -12.6 pts |
History
| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
 US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | LOW SELL No @ 84¢ | $11.7k | missed |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026? | LOW BUY No @ 88¢ | $12.3k | called |
 Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | LOW BUY Yes @ 13¢ | $11.4k | missed |
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JSON: /api/v1/wallet/0xf9d535…