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Spread: Portugal (-1.5)excluded
What this means. A wallet put $11.8k on not Portugal, at a price that gave it a 3% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 10 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)excluded$11.8k
SELL Portugal @ 96.9¢ · 12,168 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet JUSTINHERBERTMVP took Portugal (sell) for $11.8k at an average 96.9¢. At that price the market implied a 3% chance for that side. The market resolved Portugal. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.8k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 96.9¢
- Implied odds
- 3.1%
- As American odds
- +3089 no vig
- Size
- $11.8k
- Placed
- Jun 23, 14:07 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 23, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Portugal
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- JUSTINHERBERTMVP
- Tx
- 0xd1d0702e…
This wallet's graded record
4/10-9.7 pts
expected 5.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -3 ptsPortugal price · entry 96.9¢ · resolved Portugal · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | LOW BUY Portugal @ 98.8¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | MED BUY Uzbekistan @ 32¢ | $12.0k | missed |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | LOW BUY Portugal @ 68¢ | $10.2k | called |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | MED BUY Portugal @ 65¢ | $44.2k | called |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | LOW BUY Uzbekistan @ 36¢ | $13.2k | missed |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | LOW BUY Portugal @ 60¢ | $11.1k | called |