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Spread: Portugal (-1.5)called
What this means. A wallet put $11.1k on Portugal, at a price that gave it a 60% chance. It won. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$11.1k
BUY Portugal @ 60¢ · 18,559 shares
Size ≥ $10kSports
What happened
Wallet northerndancer took Portugal (buy) for $11.1k at an average 60¢. At that price the market implied a 60% chance for that side. The market resolved Portugal, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $11.1k+0
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 60¢ means
60%chance the market gave
−150American odds
$1.00paid per share if Portugal wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 60¢
- Implied odds
- 60.0%
- As American odds
- −150 no vig
- Size
- $11.1k
- Placed
- Jun 22, 16:07 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 23, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Portugal
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- northerndancer
- Tx
- 0xe7b1ec15…
This wallet's graded record
4/4+29.2 pts
expected 2.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +40 ptsPortugal price · entry 60¢ · resolved Portugal
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Portugal @ 96.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Portugal @ 98.8¢ | $14.3k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Uzbekistan @ 32¢ | $12.0k | missed | |
| LOW BUY Portugal @ 68¢ | $10.2k | called | |
| MED BUY Portugal @ 65¢ | $44.2k | called | |
| LOW BUY Uzbekistan @ 36¢ | $13.2k | missed |