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Spread: Portugal (-1.5)missed
What this means. A wallet put $13.2k on Uzbekistan, at a price that gave it a 36% chance. It lost. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 62 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)missed$13.2k
BUY Uzbekistan @ 36¢ · 36,720 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet swisstony took Uzbekistan (buy) for $13.2k at an average 36¢. At that price the market implied a 36% chance for that side. The market resolved Portugal, so this flag missed it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $13.2k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 36¢ means
36%chance the market gave
+178American odds
$1.00paid per share if Uzbekistan wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 36¢
- Implied odds
- 36.0%
- As American odds
- +178 no vig
- Size
- $13.2k
- Placed
- Jun 23, 01:04 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 23, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Portugal
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- swisstony
- Tx
- 0x39b0fa0d…
This wallet's graded record
51/62+10.0 pts
expected 44.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -36 ptsUzbekistan price · entry 36¢ · resolved Portugal
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | LOW SELL Portugal @ 96.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | LOW BUY Portugal @ 98.8¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | MED BUY Uzbekistan @ 32¢ | $12.0k | missed |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | LOW BUY Portugal @ 68¢ | $10.2k | called |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | MED BUY Portugal @ 65¢ | $44.2k | called |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | LOW BUY Portugal @ 60¢ | $11.1k | called |