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Spread: Portugal (-1.5)called
What this means. A wallet put $44.2k on Portugal, at a price that gave it a 65% chance. It won. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Spread: Portugal (-1.5)called$44.2k
BUY Portugal @ 65¢ · 67,950 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10k2 fills in 1hSports
What happened
Wallet northerndancer took Portugal (buy) for $44.2k at an average 65¢. At that price the market implied a 65% chance for that side. The market resolved Portugal, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $44.2k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 65¢ means
65%chance the market gave
−186American odds
$1.00paid per share if Portugal wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 65¢
- Implied odds
- 65.0%
- As American odds
- −186 no vig
- Size
- $44.2k
- Placed
- Jun 23, 01:25 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 23, 13:00 EDT
- Result
- Portugal
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- northerndancer
- Tx
- 0x128c1da1…
This wallet's graded record
4/4+29.2 pts
expected 2.8 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +35 ptsPortugal price · entry 65¢ · resolved Portugal
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | LOW SELL Portugal @ 96.9¢ | $11.8k | excluded |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | LOW BUY Portugal @ 98.8¢ | $14.3k | excluded |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | MED BUY Uzbekistan @ 32¢ | $12.0k | missed |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | LOW BUY Portugal @ 68¢ | $10.2k | called |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | LOW BUY Uzbekistan @ 36¢ | $13.2k | missed |
| Spread: Portugal (-1.5) | LOW BUY Portugal @ 60¢ | $11.1k | called |