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Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $218.2k on No, at a price that gave it a 47% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 3 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27?excluded$218.2k
BUY No @ 47¢ · 464,727 shares in 8 fills
Size ≥ $100k8 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)5.2× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet gambamaster took No (buy) for $218.2k at an average 47¢. At that price the market implied a 47% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $218.2k+2
8 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 47¢ means
47%chance the market gave
+113American odds
$1.00paid per share if No wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 47¢
- Implied odds
- 46.9%
- As American odds
- +113 no vig
- Size
- $218.2k
- Placed
- Jun 27, 19:30 EDT
- Market close
- Jun 27, 19:30 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- gambamaster
- Tx
- 0xd110d65f…
This wallet's graded record
2/3+27.4 pts
expected 1.2 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +53 ptsNo price · entry 47¢ · resolved No
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $12.2k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $15.9k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL Yes @ 29¢ | $14.2k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW SELL Yes @ 29¢ | $16.2k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY No @ 69¢ | $27.5k | excluded |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? | LOW BUY Yes @ 45¢ | $90.0k 2.4× usual |
excluded |