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Lions vs. Billscalled
What this means. A wallet put $18.2k on Bills, at a price that gave it a 68% chance. It won. This wallet has no clear edge yet (+10.0 pts over 71 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
$18.2k
BUY Bills @ 68¢ · 26,712 shares
Size ≥ $10kProven walletSports
What happened
Wallet omnibus-076daa took Bills (buy) for $18.2k at an average 68¢. At that price the market implied a 68% chance for that side. The market resolved Bills, so this flag called it.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $18.2k+0
Proven wallet (positive graded edge)+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 68¢ means
68%chance the market gave
−213American odds
$1.00paid per share if Bills wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 68¢
- Implied odds
- 68.0%
- As American odds
- −213 no vig
- Size
- $18.2k
- Placed
- Sep 17, 04:37 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 17, 20:15 EDT
- Result
- Bills
- Counts toward score
- yes
- Wallet
- omnibus-076daa
- Tx
- 0xce177756…
This wallet's graded record
41/71+10.0 pts
expected 33.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +32 ptsBills price · entry 68¢ · resolved Bills
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| LOW SELL Bills @ 99.9¢ | $85.6k 3.1× usual |
excluded | |
| LOW SELL Bills @ 99.9¢ | $16.1k | excluded | |
| LOW BUY Bills @ 99.9¢ | $111.0k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Bills @ 95.6¢ | $51.5k 2.0× usual |
excluded | |
| MED BUY Bills @ 95.2¢ | $71.1k | excluded | |
| MED BUY Bills @ 94¢ | $204.5k 6.5× usual |
excluded |