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Lions vs. Billsexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $85.6k on not Bills, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 4 graded bets, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Lions vs. Billsexcluded$85.6k
SELL Bills @ 99.9¢ · 85,722 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)3.1× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet nuttypoo took Bills (sell) for $85.6k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved Bills. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $85.6k+1
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $85.6k
- Placed
- Sep 17, 23:32 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 17, 20:15 EDT
- Result
- Bills
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- nuttypoo
- Tx
- 0x56e5321c…
This wallet's graded record
2/4-17.6 pts
expected 2.7 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lions vs. Bills | LOW SELL Bills @ 99.9¢ | $16.1k | excluded |
| Lions vs. Bills | LOW BUY Bills @ 99.9¢ | $111.0k | excluded |
| Lions vs. Bills | MED BUY Bills @ 95.6¢ | $51.5k | excluded |
| Lions vs. Bills | MED BUY Bills @ 95.2¢ | $71.1k | excluded |
| Lions vs. Bills | MED BUY Bills @ 94¢ | $204.5k 6.5× usual |
excluded |
| Lions vs. Bills | LOW BUY Bills @ 95¢ | $11.1k | excluded |