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Lions vs. Billsexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $71.1k on Bills, at a price that gave it a 95% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.7 pts over 54 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Lions vs. Billsexcluded$71.1k
BUY Bills @ 95.2¢ · 74,644 shares in 2 fills
Size ≥ $10kHeavy favorite2 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)Sports
What happened
Wallet 0x2c33…0563 took Bills (buy) for $71.1k at an average 95.2¢. At that price the market implied a 95% chance for that side. The market resolved Bills. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
MEDSize $71.1k+1
2 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 95¢ means
95%chance the market gave
−1987American odds
$1.00paid per share if Bills wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 95.2¢
- Implied odds
- 95.2%
- As American odds
- −1987 no vig
- Size
- $71.1k
- Placed
- Sep 17, 22:51 EDT
- Market close
- Sep 17, 20:15 EDT
- Result
- Bills
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x2c33…0563
- Tx
- 0xc3451311…
This wallet's graded record
27/54-3.7 pts
expected 29.0 from price
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Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lions vs. Bills | LOW SELL Bills @ 99.9¢ | $85.6k 3.1× usual |
excluded |
| Lions vs. Bills | LOW SELL Bills @ 99.9¢ | $16.1k | excluded |
| Lions vs. Bills | LOW BUY Bills @ 99.9¢ | $111.0k | excluded |
| Lions vs. Bills | MED BUY Bills @ 95.6¢ | $51.5k | excluded |
| Lions vs. Bills | MED BUY Bills @ 94¢ | $204.5k 6.5× usual |
excluded |
| Lions vs. Bills | LOW BUY Bills @ 95¢ | $11.1k | excluded |