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Patriots vs. Bearsexcluded
What this means. A wallet put $302.7k on Bears, at a price that gave it a 79% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has no clear edge yet (-3.7 pts over 54 bets). Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Patriots vs. Bearsexcluded$302.7k
BUY Bears @ 79¢ · 380,958 shares in 3 fills
Size ≥ $250k3 fills in 1hLate (<1h before start)7.3× this wallet's usual betSports
What happened
Wallet 0x2c33…0563 took Bears (buy) for $302.7k at an average 79¢. At that price the market implied a 79% chance for that side. The market resolved Bears. This trade isn't graded: it happened after the market closed, so it's a settlement trade, not a call. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
HIGHSize $302.7k+3
3 fills within 1h+1
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
What 79¢ means
79%chance the market gave
−387American odds
$1.00paid per share if Bears wins
Shares pay $1 if the outcome happens, $0 if not. More · Data only, not advice.
- Entry price
- 79¢
- Implied odds
- 79.5%
- As American odds
- −387 no vig
- Size
- $302.7k
- Placed
- Oct 22, 22:11 EDT
- Market close
- Oct 22, 20:15 EDT
- Result
- Bears
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- 0x2c33…0563
- Tx
- 0xcbe247b1…
This wallet's graded record
27/54-3.7 pts
expected 29.0 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade +21 ptsBears price · entry 79¢ · resolved Bears
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Patriots vs. Bears | LOW SELL Bears @ 99.9¢ | $27.3k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Bears | LOW SELL Bears @ 99.9¢ | $67.4k 4.0× usual |
excluded |
| Patriots vs. Bears | MED BUY Patriots @ 19¢ | $31.1k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Bears | MED BUY Bears @ 70¢ | $107.0k 5.0× usual |
excluded |
| Patriots vs. Bears | LOW BUY Bears @ 73¢ | $15.0k | excluded |
| Patriots vs. Bears | LOW BUY Patriots @ 32¢ | $12.1k | excluded |