← Live flags
Netanyahu out by March 31?excluded
What this means. A wallet put $20.0k on not No, at a price that gave it a 0% chance. The market hasn't resolved yet. This wallet has only 1 graded bet, too few to judge. Big isn't the same as right: across all whales, big bets lose to the price slightly. Information, not advice. How to use this →
Netanyahu out by March 31?excluded$20.0k
SELL No @ 99.9¢ · 20,000 shares
Size ≥ $10kUnderdog sideLate (<1h before start)Other
What happened
Wallet HorribleWork took No (sell) for $20.0k at an average 99.9¢. At that price the market implied a 0% chance for that side. The market resolved No. This trade isn't graded. It was placed less than an hour before the market started or closed, so it's excluded from the scoreboard.
Why this was flagged
LOWSize $20.0k+0
Underdog side (implied < 35%)+1
Near-certain price-2
HIGH ≥ 4 points · MED 2–3 · LOW below 2. Labels don't affect grading. Methodology
- Entry price
- 99.9¢
- Implied odds
- 0.1%
- Size
- $20.0k
- Placed
- Mar 31, 23:43 EDT
- Market close
- Mar 31, 23:59 EDT
- Result
- No
- Counts toward score
- no
- Wallet
- HorribleWork
- Tx
- 0xcb0b6e4c…
This wallet's graded record
1/1+5.6 pts
expected 0.9 from price
Share this receipt
Entry to resolution
Grade -0 ptsNo price · entry 99.9¢ · resolved No · a sell, so a falling price is the whale's way
Grade = result (100 or 0) minus the price paid. Polymarket price history. Information, not advice.
Other flags on this market
Market page →| Market | Flag | Size | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $40.0k 2.1× usual |
excluded |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $32.0k | excluded |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $20.0k | excluded |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $89.9k 4.4× usual |
excluded |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $24.5k | excluded |
| Netanyahu out by March 31? | LOW SELL No @ 99.9¢ | $29.9k | excluded |